The NIH’s Draft Supplementary Risk Assessments and Site Suitability Analyses, (DSRASSA) is a bit boring but it is an amusing read. Amusing in the sense of how they performed  their methodology relating to risk assessment specifics including vectors and many other elements of the worst case scenario; for instance consider  this little tid bit from the report.

“Only female mosquitoes were modeled and the assumption was made that, at the peak population around April 1st, there were 100,000 females/acre wetland or other suitable water body area. (±10% for each simulation run for realism), with area given for Boston at 199 acres, Peterborough at 6,309 acres, and Tyngsborough at 2,654 acres. Additionally, the graph below articulates the seasonal variation of the mosquito population”.

The report is full of absurd methodlogy just like the female mosquito scenario, if the number is off how does that effect the simulation or does it? It is no wonder the committee found the report was “not sound or credible and it did not adequately  identify and thoroughly develop worst-case scenarios, and did not contain the appropriate level of information to compare the risks associated with alternative locations. Moreover, the letter report raised concerns about agent selection, ie., would it change and how would the community know, scenario development and modeling methodology, etc.

Read the letter report  to understand why the committee is worried

 

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